CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: MIBR vs. Nemiga
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37b4190bbb34b8f718b15fcba5d2ec2a62eeba30397c81d145d4e557487dcfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof MIBR, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Nemiga | 53c | 7,650$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked MIBR | 47c | 5,020$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.18 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Nemiga | 51c | 4,745$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.05 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MIBR | 52c | 4,425$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.14 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked MIBR | 33c | 1,002$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.54 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed MIBR | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked MIBR | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed MIBR | 20c | 844.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Nemiga | 80c | 820.05$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.14 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed MIBR | 55c | 527$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Nemiga | 54c | 323.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Nemiga | 62c | 231.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Nemiga | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked MIBR | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1375backed MIBR | 54c | 49.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…b3f0backed MIBR | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Nemiga | 80c | 31.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d1…7925backed MIBR | 60c | 30.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…069ebacked MIBR | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Nemiga | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.