Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c0f1488f8f3c1e7a9f95b67aeb710b4a81d8c04243ee1fdfea2f676e60eae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 17c | 904.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934b…b9c1backed Under | 21c | 545.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6f…d151backed Over | 79c | 545.51$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…dafcbacked Under | 20c | 192.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf5…54b9backed Over | 80c | 192.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…7adabacked Under | 20c | 160.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…1fd8backed Over | 80c | 160.88$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 16c | 158.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad8…ca12backed Under | 20c | 151.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…c8d2backed Over | 80c | 151.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 16c | 124.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 83.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 72.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)Rangers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.