Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nova Gorica: Matteo Fondriest vs Jan Hrazdil
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c432b61c1fd89247ed8b30f6347f34b43b9a928d6692da24fd7f5d0db8cb8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Fondriestof Matteo Fondriest, Jan Hrazdil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jan Hrazdil | 17c | 16,202$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jan Hrazdil | 18c | 1,051$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.1 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matteo Fondriest | 48c | 461.1$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Jan Hrazdil | 16c | 325.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Jan Hrazdil | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Jan Hrazdil | 17c | 206$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jan Hrazdil | 52c | 179.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Jan Hrazdil | 52c | 127.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Matteo Fondriest | 44c | 121.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Jan Hrazdil | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jan Hrazdil | 19c | 110.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jan Hrazdil | 79c | 105.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Jan Hrazdil | 20c | 90.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Jan Hrazdil | 20c | 59.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Matteo Fondriest | 23c | 58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jan Hrazdil | 77c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Jan Hrazdil | 56c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Jan Hrazdil | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Matteo Fondriest | 76c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.