TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

AS Monaco FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Under42c71,988$30,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,753.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.934228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under41c9,445$3,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,572.423951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Under42c5,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33fc…cee6backed Over59c5,085$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c4,752$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.481,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5671…6e56backed Over58c2,942$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.3680%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3e…8fe8backed Over58c2,561$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd47…44b9backed Over58c2,088$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Over59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1805038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9875…70f5backed Over58c1,863$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.54922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-63.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ff…3791backed Over58c1,580$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x608e…80b7backed Over58c1,363$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c1…6c36backed Over58c1,361$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a3…09a7backed Over58c1,336$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d8…5a80backed Over58c1,327$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.66812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-62.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over59c1,305$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.183240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5eb8…4b2cbacked Over58c1,288$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3134…ef9abacked Over58c1,180$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217f…e07abacked Over58c1,175$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af7…a0a3backed Over58c1,136$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81c0…517ebacked Over58c1,127$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc410…be3bbacked Over58c1,110$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…1e67backed Over58c1,105$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e8…18c6backed Over58c1,086$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde29…2cd6backed Over58c1,060$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd50…9109backed Over58c1,047$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7016…9c7ebacked Over58c1,043$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f60…e360backed Over58c1,017$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5094…a296backed Over58c1,007$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over60c1,005$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.959643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb61…9488backed Over58c956$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…bc6bbacked Over58c950$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf835…2702backed Over58c942$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb229…0591backed Over58c905$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.940%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1c5…2316backed Over58c880$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c0…46ebbacked Under57c878.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…431ebacked Over58c855$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b14…9b0ebacked Over58c841$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.7880%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb21…8062backed Over58c833$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b6…f481backed Over58c829$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc585…1b72backed Over58c816$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…1e60backed Over58c816$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over47c813.13$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.262147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc534…428abacked Over58c798$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f5…46e3backed Over58c754$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf171…20c7backed Over58c744$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7331…2923backed Over58c740$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2384…d3dcbacked Over58c726$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x925e…fdf3backed Over58c687$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f4d…f826backed Over58c686$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf7…3ff1backed Over58c675$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1253…9868backed Over58c661$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7586…e8f3backed Over58c648$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over39c640.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.781450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c13…1e40backed Over58c637$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over60c620$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.86154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf869…6d20backed Over58c616$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe65…ced6backed Over58c598$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb004…c887backed Over58c594$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36be…e8a7backed Over58c593$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7d…7765backed Over58c591$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x341b…e11dbacked Over58c591$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e0…88e3backed Over58c569$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2e…1980backed Over58c565$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377d…1bd5backed Over58c558$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1922…3f90backed Over58c557$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e99…543dbacked Over58c550$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8139…9ee6backed Over58c523$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe859…61cebacked Over58c523$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf168…35fcbacked Over58c521$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821a…d2bbbacked Over58c521$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.1840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x408d…2bccbacked Over58c521$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3bc…1550backed Over58c511$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d3…14a7backed Over58c511$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1552…92b3backed Over58c509$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab3…e65ebacked Over58c504$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b2…3a78backed Over58c461$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c3…a0bebacked Over58c431$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57bc…6209backed Over58c431$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under40c417.79$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8630657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7124…948abacked Over58c417$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under39c410.52$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.426339.7%25 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1d…ee79backed Over58c406$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4c…94ecbacked Over58c402$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac6…929bbacked Over58c402$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d42…e4d1backed Over58c397$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda8…bf52backed Over58c388$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8162…426abacked Over58c383$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb33e…26bdbacked Over58c379$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcca3…a61ebacked Over58c374$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf34…d146backed Over58c372$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0428…93f8backed Over58c358$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.64812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-83.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a7…5a3bbacked Over58c343$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008051.3%41 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962f…b247backed Over58c336$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x522d…c0dcbacked Over58c336$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe153…e415backed Under42c334.79$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535e…c373backed Over58c334$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d62…08d1backed Over58c334$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.