Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: RED Canids vs FURIA Academy (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc49d9bfddb9d7a854a555655ea31ac014d33f2389f9443016d8ac04dcda8ecd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, FURIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ab…7954backed FURIA Academy | 53c | 207.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked RED Canids | 67c | 179.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked RED Canids | 58c | 98.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed FURIA Academy | 33c | 91.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed FURIA Academy | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked RED Canids | 57c | 76.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked RED Canids | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed FURIA Academy | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed RED Canids | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.