Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5227af5ccb248f8b165394d86ed2c83f5363e7e395f64032273c229260ed68e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 3,957$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.41 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 2,950$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 687.31$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.7 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 424$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 278.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…9706backed Yes | 11c | 177.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 8c | 165$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 28c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…0139backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1e…1746backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will Brøndby IF vs. Randers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.