Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida A&M vs. Alabama A&M
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5762cd0324f7db6ad0ad566c504517c53732373c4e238e4a687ff38035ceeb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama A&Mof Florida A&M, Alabama A&M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b7c…6309backed Alabama A&M | 50c | 418$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfb…cbb3backed Florida A&M | 50c | 293$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Florida A&M | 49c | 217$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…0455backed Florida A&M | 50c | 171$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…90d4backed Alabama A&M | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida A&M | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Alabama A&M | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…3c5cbacked Alabama A&M | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…bfe4backed Alabama A&M | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +233.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…8fd5backed Florida A&M | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb89…90bfbacked Florida A&M | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…332abacked Alabama A&M | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…4032backed Florida A&M | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7722…9ff8backed Florida A&M | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…c9a5backed Alabama A&M | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Florida A&M | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0371…ced6backed Florida A&M | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…50c5backed Alabama A&M | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…9bcdbacked Florida A&M | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…a3f2backed Florida A&M | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…baf1backed Florida A&M | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1e…f6aebacked Florida A&M | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.