Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Francisco Dons vs. Pacific Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6064c917b274ea92544eaee85eb0d7e2f5940c8c84dddd87cb2dbb2c409fbb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Donsof San Francisco Dons, Pacific Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacific Tigers | 17c | 2,787$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Dons | 54c | 2,452$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.3 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pacific Tigers | 62c | 1,818$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.16 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacific Tigers | 32c | 1,211$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.21 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed San Francisco Dons | 38c | 1,202$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.24 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Francisco Dons | 64c | 1,136$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacific Tigers | 40c | 599.13$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.74 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed San Francisco Dons | 38c | 540.9$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.36 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Pacific Tigers | 42c | 494.94$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pacific Tigers | 61c | 321.84$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Francisco Dons | 39c | 297.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pacific Tigers | 34c | 206.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Francisco Dons | 50c | 132.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Pacific Tigers | 35c | 131.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed San Francisco Dons | 63c | 117.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Dons | 68c | 107.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Dons | 38c | 99.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Pacific Tigers | 62c | 89.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Dons | 48c | 85.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked San Francisco Dons | 80c | 75.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed San Francisco Dons | 38c | 60.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Dons | 48c | 47.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pacific Tigers | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Dons | 63c | 37.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…4793backed Pacific Tigers | 65c | 37.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed San Francisco Dons | 48c | 29.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Pacific Tigers | 61c | 22.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.