Champions League · resolved market
Will Fluminense vs. Al Hilal end in a draw after regulation time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6327ed98c1a23e85704e52c527e2597d3d96d4700f897bdd88ccce0b5ebab9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 25c | 39,759$9,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,907.82 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yes | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 20c | 2,755$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.72 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 79c | 1,180$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 1,168$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.95 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa169…a6a9backed Yes | 28c | 990$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 614.86$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.31 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…2dafbacked No | 72c | 525$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Yes | 29c | 502.97$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…4620backed No | 72c | 475$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 12c | 471.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 34c | 447.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 27c | 412.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 24c | 377.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 29c | 341.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 26c | 330.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 42c | 284.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 71c | 225.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 71c | 211.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…dec0backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 26c | 175.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 31c | 163.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 71c | 152$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda1…8cd6backed Yes | 35c | 141.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…1a79backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked No | 69c | 117.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 23c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…d597backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 31c | 94.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Yes | 26c | 66.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 30c | 51.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed Yes | 32c | 47.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…691abacked No | 67c | 43.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…b93abacked No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed No | 71c | 26.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…e781backed No | 42c | 25.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense vs. Al Hilal end in a draw after regulation time?this page
- Will Al Hilal beat Fluminense in regulation time?No won
- Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.