Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulane vs. East Carolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc67f5f1d6af7c0aea191570c4581c2abe23f01712190307f2f619f821e704267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolinaof Tulane, East Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b02…55cdbacked East Carolina | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…9ef9backed Tulane | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Tulane | 34c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…ca5bbacked East Carolina | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…8ec7backed East Carolina | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b67…b277backed Tulane | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed East Carolina | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…2676backed Tulane | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…1e3fbacked East Carolina | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked East Carolina | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a3…49abbacked East Carolina | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…88a9backed Tulane | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…6ababacked Tulane | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…38e2backed Tulane | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f2…65b7backed Tulane | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.