Mls · resolved market
MLS: Will D.C. United beat Inter Miami?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6862f4b32b5cbd62f52f8a09ef52c4050ab7a3d6e2eb7947ec227afc88273bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 38c | 3,968$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.33 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 61c | 3,467$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.55 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 41c | 210.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…73e8backed No | 70c | 118.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 30c | 118.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 59c | 102.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MLS: Will D.C. United beat Inter Miami?this page
- MLS: Will D.C. United vs. Inter Miami end in a draw?Yes won
- MLS: Will Inter Miami beat D.C. United?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.