Lol · resolved market
LoL: New Meta vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c02674e2741f639754bdefe887f0ce2674b41bff8abf000ffa4c0cc15603fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arnebof New Meta, Arneb
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2586…f071backed Arneb | 74c | 1,180$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.38 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…bdd7backed New Meta | 1c | 1,004$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 21.6%29 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Arneb | 49c | 1,000$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.83 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Arneb | 52c | 652.49$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.72 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed New Meta | 25c | 549.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 1,060 | 28.5%302 W · 758 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed New Meta | 17c | 430$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed New Meta | 47c | 419.87$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed New Meta | 52c | 291.01$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed New Meta | 49c | 179.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed New Meta | 49c | 160.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked New Meta | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked New Meta | 50c | 151.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked New Meta | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked New Meta | 56c | 137.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…cdfebacked New Meta | 50c | 133$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed New Meta | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked New Meta | 50c | 114.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked New Meta | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Arneb | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Arneb | 51c | 83.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Meta | 30c | 72.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Arneb | 36c | 47.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 173 | 42.2%73 W · 100 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Arneb | 51c | 40.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed New Meta | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…6d88backed New Meta | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Arneb | 55c | 29.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed New Meta | 71c | 28.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: New Meta vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: New Meta vs Arneb - Game 2 WinnerNew Meta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.