Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Anna Pushkareva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e6dd7478ec098345e4b9a6fac54ebfb42142b4abed13666a9dffb1870c7d48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asylzhan Arystanbekovaof Asylzhan Arystanbekova, Anna Pushkareva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x251e…b4cebacked Anna Pushkareva | 37c | 1,197$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 42c | 943.71$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.8 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 71c | 831.19$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Anna Pushkareva | 58c | 697.49$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.54 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 62c | 278.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Anna Pushkareva | 54c | 277.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…27bdbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 74c | 220.27$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 46c | 204$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Pushkareva | 36c | 201.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Anna Pushkareva | 59c | 162.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Anna Pushkareva | 53c | 106$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 53c | 98.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 77c | 94.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 40c | 74.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 76c | 62.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anna Pushkareva | 59c | 54.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 42c | 53.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Anna Pushkareva | 57c | 46.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 43c | 43.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Anna Pushkareva | 55c | 40.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Anna Pushkareva | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…a42dbacked Anna Pushkareva | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anna Pushkareva | 53c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Anna Pushkarevathis page
- ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Completed Match: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Anna PushkarevaYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.