Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc74eff4c3689105096491ee3b136b89f8fa870c3f4d6471dba022786986b7415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 673.61$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 51c | 467.51$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.08 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Yes | 48c | 456.25$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 50c | 256.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 54.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06d…5af9backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Tondela (-1.5)CD Tondela won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-1.5)CD Tondela won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.