Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pacific Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7915096b03e48906238a59a52206712d68fd0d6601a51719d1586867f5db42b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlantic Owlsof Pacific Tigers, Florida Atlantic Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 78c | 2,281$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.36 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Pacific Tigers | 22c | 986$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 76c | 713.45$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.23 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacific Tigers | 24c | 704.17$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 75c | 560.55$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pacific Tigers | 23c | 460$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Pacific Tigers | 23c | 241$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Pacific Tigers | 22c | 186$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pacific Tigers | 23c | 145$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Pacific Tigers | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Pacific Tigers | 21c | 99.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 78c | 91.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pacific Tigers | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pacific Tigers | 21c | 82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pacific Tigers | 23c | 74.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Pacific Tigers | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…afe6backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f8…8214backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 77c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.