Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Atlantic vs. UAB
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7a34bde4f476dd7a6b4b933322b406eb24219f0b30e9edabed9945234b28651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UABof Florida Atlantic, UAB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed UAB | 50c | 171$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…c02dbacked Florida Atlantic | 27c | 155$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…a76dbacked UAB | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…06b4backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed UAB | 68c | 75.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097a…d532backed UAB | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Florida Atlantic | 32c | 65.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UAB | 66c | 56.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39cc…0cd2backed UAB | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…2d5bbacked Florida Atlantic | 34c | 50.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed UAB | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…e519backed UAB | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a70…be64backed UAB | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f9…f494backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c3…8e89backed UAB | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…f2dabacked Florida Atlantic | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…1ff2backed UAB | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…2676backed UAB | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…1e3fbacked UAB | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a0…e751backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…7a86backed UAB | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…72e8backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…9ac3backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…9dd9backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856d…9e2ebacked UAB | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…06d4backed UAB | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed UAB | 63c | 19.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed UAB | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…4652backed UAB | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.