Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alabama State Hornets (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7e3759a8d734b2f6aa9b25f3fb594722eb6d6ad86014e9154f7f1a03ac04c8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama State Hornetsof Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions, Alabama State Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $663 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 43c | 318.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alabama State Hornets | 60c | 169.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama State Hornets | 57c | 79.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Alabama State Hornets | 55c | 73.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a690backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 41c | 39.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…2231backed Alabama State Hornets | 71c | 28.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Alabama State Hornets | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Alabama State Hornets | 60c | 17.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.