Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UMass Lowell vs. New Hampshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc81272ad42559dcb7290cc39e44fe1062aa30e4d7bedb1318412451e181cfb6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Hampshireof UMass Lowell, New Hampshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked New Hampshire | 16c | 400$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…25fabacked UMass Lowell | 78c | 147$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…8383backed New Hampshire | 23c | 136$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…7f20backed New Hampshire | 23c | 136$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…30e8backed UMass Lowell | 65c | 83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked New Hampshire | 16c | 80.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…05e4backed New Hampshire | 19c | 79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…3136backed New Hampshire | 41c | 61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…3c55backed UMass Lowell | 59c | 61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…8f97backed New Hampshire | 35c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0945…e02bbacked New Hampshire | 21c | 58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…9538backed UMass Lowell | 78c | 49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…5cdfbacked UMass Lowell | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…5968backed UMass Lowell | 59c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…b6a4backed UMass Lowell | 78c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…7b21backed New Hampshire | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +232%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67b2…a28dbacked UMass Lowell | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacfd…6337backed New Hampshire | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e5…77acbacked UMass Lowell | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…d415backed New Hampshire | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…1fe4backed UMass Lowell | 80c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…135ebacked UMass Lowell | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…6906backed New Hampshire | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…4174backed UMass Lowell | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…ffb9backed UMass Lowell | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…d156backed New Hampshire | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…d04ebacked New Hampshire | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…0dc5backed New Hampshire | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…eca1backed UMass Lowell | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…96c5backed UMass Lowell | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.