Euroleague · resolved market
Partizan vs. Paris Basketball
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc94f4b180bc4b13b1edc230e7823222cfdc183642c5b397d9db5fa69bc897e76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Basketballof Partizan, Paris Basketball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Partizan | 69c | 3,604$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Paris Basketball | 36c | 3,371$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.3 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Partizan | 68c | 2,062$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.68 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Paris Basketball | 37c | 623.67$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris Basketball | 33c | 410$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.85 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Paris Basketball | 32c | 391$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.88 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Paris Basketball | 46c | 168$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Partizan | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Partizan | 68c | 132.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Paris Basketball | 32c | 109.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Partizan | 51c | 90.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…4c76backed Partizan | 66c | 66.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Paris Basketball | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…d61fbacked Partizan | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paris Basketball | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Paris Basketball | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Partizan | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Paris Basketball | 50c | 20.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Partizan | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.