CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: The QUBE Esports vs Morningstar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc99b07e8b7081bc829610e945335a01334cdeda19f07949074e27f1aa16a2b2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The QUBE Esportsof The QUBE Esports, Morningstar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,634 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0791…df64backed The QUBE Esports | 15c | 4,196$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…f307backed The QUBE Esports | 15c | 304$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +193.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The QUBE Esports | 20c | 168.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The QUBE Esports | 22c | 116.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Morningstar | 65c | 93.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked The QUBE Esports | 46c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked The QUBE Esports | 47c | 80.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed The QUBE Esports | 46c | 63.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed The QUBE Esports | 29c | 58.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9566…a792backed Morningstar | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked The QUBE Esports | 35c | 42.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Morningstar | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Morningstar | 77c | 26.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…5238backed Morningstar | 79c | 23.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…9c61backed Morningstar | 79c | 18.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.