Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Çilekler vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a6edfc31a0ae39d580dc9b12e0654de31a7c05722a300a106e9e73fb51b055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof Çilekler, Eintracht Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.53 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Çilekler | 40c | 421.24$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Çilekler | 39c | 421.21$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Çilekler | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.71 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 61c | 173.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Çilekler | 41c | 131.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Çilekler | 39c | 110.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 60c | 98.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 61c | 82.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Çilekler | 37c | 47.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Çilekler | 37c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Çilekler | 39c | 27.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Çilekler vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Çilekler vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier PlayoffsEintracht Frankfurt won
- Valorant: Çilekler vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
- Valorant: Çilekler vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 3 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.