Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bellarmine vs. Florida Gulf Coast
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca1bd6989265c3884631d05280d512898a052f042591fa396aa5fe5f541f85e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gulf Coastof Bellarmine, Florida Gulf Coast
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4716…ef3ebacked Bellarmine | 24c | 245$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…e938backed Bellarmine | 24c | 182$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…d171backed Bellarmine | 23c | 145$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…1464backed Bellarmine | 24c | 136$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…3387backed Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 117$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…c675backed Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…fabebacked Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…18c5backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189a…e37dbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…77a0backed Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…8060backed Bellarmine | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…19bbbacked Bellarmine | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…3610backed Bellarmine | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a56cbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…0037backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…c101backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…06efbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8364…2e46backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…62afbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…f1a3backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6670…41acbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…5550backed Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…eb81backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…9ec7backed Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…630bbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…ea21backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…de5dbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa33…e699backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…ca8ebacked Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…a6afbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…3331backed Florida Gulf Coast | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…99e2backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…7584backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…b5d5backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…a8f0backed Florida Gulf Coast | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.