Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Providence Friars (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca618940d67d983267bd1b0a553c8f3d5bccb670b9dd7d493ac04bf4e5c5ec7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgetown Hoyasof Providence Friars, Georgetown Hoyas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Providence Friars | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Georgetown Hoyas | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Georgetown Hoyas | 57c | 449.57$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Providence Friars | 43c | 391.64$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 188.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Providence Friars | 48c | 126.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Providence Friars | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 43c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Providence Friars | 44c | 34.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Providence Friars | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Providence Friars | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Providence Friars (-6.5)this page
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. Providence FriarsGeorgetown Hoyas won
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. Providence Friars: O/U 159.5Under won
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. Providence Friars: O/U 160.5Under won
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. Providence Friars: O/U 161.5Under won
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. Providence Friars: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Providence Friars (-5.5)Georgetown Hoyas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.