CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcae11ac8a5e467164f98440e5015008526081e8da00ff873d0d79ae1046659b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wanted Goonsof Zomblers, Wanted Goons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,264 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f62…980abacked Zomblers | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aff…ed85backed Zomblers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…5bf6backed Zomblers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Wanted Goons | 74c | 1,116$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.45 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Zomblers | 35c | 601$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.35 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…131cbacked Zomblers | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Zomblers | 11c | 366.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wanted Goons | 71c | 147.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed Zomblers | 29c | 147.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…cb91backed Wanted Goons | 79c | 113.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Wanted Goons | 68c | 53.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 PlayoffsWanted Goons won
- Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 WinnerWanted Goons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.