TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set 1 Winner: Sherif vs Yuan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sherifof Sherif, Yuan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sherif60c605.99$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.397,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yuan39c497.04$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.321,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yuan37c466.46$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.757,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Yuan40c422.64$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.057,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Sherif61c221.52$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.396553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sherif77c209.37$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.756,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Sherif61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9323248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yuan13c107.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.382,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe47…a4b1backed Sherif61c57.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.468951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Sherif61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.799529.5%28 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Sherif75c29.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4740048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Sherif68c26.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4527240.4%110 W · 162 L-25.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa561…cf19backed Sherif80c19.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.