Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Ann Li vs Zhuoxuan Bai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb1adaa9ed6a9eba94cc9a0f3808df2bf1a5289cdf3b831e07b5dbb510bdcc71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baiof Li, Bai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Li | 71c | 1,645$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.06 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Bai | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.95 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Bai | 23c | 1,299$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.01 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Li | 74c | 947.33$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.87 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Bai | 30c | 599.88$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.93 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Bai | 34c | 300$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bai | 13c | 245$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.38 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Li | 79c | 221.45$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…17cfbacked Bai | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bai | 11c | 165.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Bai | 11c | 150$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Bai | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Bai | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Li | 14c | 109$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Li | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bai | 57c | 99.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Bai | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…a005backed Li | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Bai | 54c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Li | 31c | 48.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Li | 32c | 43.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Li | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…341cbacked Li | 78c | 37.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Li | 65c | 33.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…6362backed Bai | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.