CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Betera Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb3cd9953de173093ff7a8a4c484f1b3760d614e5e9a2de280a320b8a507bf10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Betera Esportsof Betera Esports, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 2,508$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.81 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Betera Esports | 63c | 1,911$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.36 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Betera Esports | 66c | 1,546$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.9 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Betera Esports | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 210.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…c33fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…833dbacked Betera Esports | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…1a7ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Betera Esports | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.