CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb5a47b5a2f12a6ed7f8bd497b76fbe3a10198f9cc3e05d0d8b137c50a5d9455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sharks | 55c | 721.78$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.92 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed ShindeN | 45c | 667.78$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.41 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked ShindeN | 61c | 621.13$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks | 39c | 363.28$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sharks | 58c | 361.14$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.58 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN | 39c | 307.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Sharks | 55c | 253$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sharks | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed ShindeN | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked ShindeN | 38c | 92.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked ShindeN | 57c | 84.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ShindeN | 17c | 69.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Sharks | 64c | 59.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Sharks | 62c | 51.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed ShindeN | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Sharks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ShindeN | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Sharks - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.