Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Holy Cross vs. Lafayette
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb919df66372b835bd7dc788fac3d373f58036f646ab304ca62301e411d2bf2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lafayetteof Holy Cross, Lafayette
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lafayette | 41c | 1,386$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.7 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…35b9backed Holy Cross | 59c | 1,360$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…53d2backed Lafayette | 41c | 567$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c6…b553backed Lafayette | 41c | 539$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…760abacked Lafayette | 31c | 497$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fce…3fb0backed Holy Cross | 69c | 323$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…49d7backed Lafayette | 41c | 254$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…05e4backed Holy Cross | 27c | 192$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…fd43backed Holy Cross | 60c | 135$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…4a5dbacked Holy Cross | 69c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…c2a6backed Holy Cross | 69c | 84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…f01cbacked Lafayette | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…f344backed Lafayette | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7021…2045backed Holy Cross | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…0870backed Lafayette | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45aa…ff04backed Lafayette | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb257…4403backed Lafayette | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…91c9backed Lafayette | 40c | 58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…d6b1backed Holy Cross | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa3…6641backed Lafayette | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…904cbacked Lafayette | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…6549backed Lafayette | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…9073backed Holy Cross | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e3…edcabacked Holy Cross | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa331…514dbacked Lafayette | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…c36fbacked Holy Cross | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbe…1cf3backed Holy Cross | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…c787backed Lafayette | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lafayette | 71c | 36.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…1007backed Holy Cross | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…a627backed Lafayette | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…18dabacked Holy Cross | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a2…5c7fbacked Holy Cross | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…3a14backed Holy Cross | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…b564backed Lafayette | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…04f4backed Lafayette | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c8…e91fbacked Lafayette | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…b5d9backed Holy Cross | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048d…356abacked Lafayette | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…6902backed Holy Cross | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe636…05c8backed Holy Cross | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…aa89backed Holy Cross | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207c…7d4fbacked Lafayette | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec22…8524backed Holy Cross | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba3…ac2abacked Lafayette | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…bdc1backed Holy Cross | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…6ad2backed Holy Cross | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e0…f6dcbacked Lafayette | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…56e5backed Holy Cross | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…a453backed Holy Cross | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8bb3backed Lafayette | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…9b32backed Lafayette | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…6564backed Holy Cross | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…9d65backed Holy Cross | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31aa…d8f7backed Lafayette | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…10bdbacked Lafayette | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9c…8a11backed Holy Cross | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…3e54backed Holy Cross | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…28f3backed Lafayette | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…357fbacked Holy Cross | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fa…4ad9backed Holy Cross | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…7923backed Lafayette | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd0…e61bbacked Holy Cross | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…47b3backed Holy Cross | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf9…f1f0backed Lafayette | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…f798backed Holy Cross | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…dd20backed Holy Cross | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc8…5e6bbacked Lafayette | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b4…35d9backed Lafayette | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…7452backed Lafayette | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…7487backed Holy Cross | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Holy Cross | 66c | 16.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.