TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Volendam win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Yes13c15,802$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.2392043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c11,875$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.035,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes14c11,615$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.747,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes15c3,832$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.9812613.5%17 W · 109 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c3,125$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.851,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes13c2,881$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.552,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes13c2,470$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.065848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Yes14c1,802$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.383066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes14c1,349$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.78120%0 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes16c1,111$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8212630.2%38 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd829…95f9backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes12c822.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.271,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes13c797.36$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7798653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes15c769.3$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1710360.2%62 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c578.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.962,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes14c563.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.196759.7%40 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…7703backed Yes9c555.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes14c524.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8547926.9%129 W · 350 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes13c499.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.991520%3 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes13c470.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.26958%40 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes15c459.62$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.935962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Yes17c398.71$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.782853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes16c377.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8364143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes15c308.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.220953.1%111 W · 98 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes13c292.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.055459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes15c277.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2519156.5%108 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b8…5692backed Yes14c248.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes16c241.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4626060.8%158 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes15c234.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2329742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes15c224.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.889247.8%44 W · 48 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes15c201$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8843721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes16c192.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.842050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes14c149.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2157019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Yes18c149.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.591127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes16c145.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9130656.2%172 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36de…ea85backed Yes15c136$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Yes13c131.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.133066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked Yes13c131.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes17c124.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2658320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Yes13c114.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.833363.6%21 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Yes14c113.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.381233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes13c108.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.094669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Yes13c107.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes16c106.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes13c99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.876962.3%43 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes14c88.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8713628.7%39 W · 97 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.