CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbc4fbb0b3075fa63ae35d42a39f38d2c50fb3110828316e15a19c6f0f966bd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof Lynn Vision, Alter Ego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Alter Ego | 26c | 462.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alter Ego | 29c | 436$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Lynn Vision | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lynn Vision | 71c | 319.72$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Lynn Vision | 65c | 214.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Alter Ego | 35c | 210.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef9e…6d4fbacked Alter Ego | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Lynn Vision | 76c | 131.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lynn Vision | 61c | 123.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lynn Vision | 66c | 119.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alter Ego | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alter Ego | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lynn Vision | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Lynn Vision | 71c | 79.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…d156backed Lynn Vision | 63c | 55.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Alter Ego | 28c | 50.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Alter Ego | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alter Ego | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Alter Ego | 23c | 46.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Lynn Vision | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 30.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Lynn Vision | 65c | 30.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lynn Vision | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego - Map 1 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.