CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbddeac854dff11f80a4ff9cae8e45a241ea873c5962e32a2985403ea40a9621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARCREDof ARCRED, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ARCRED | 74c | 1,616$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Brute | 26c | 1,515$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe869…c67abacked Brute | 35c | 708$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…bfcdbacked Brute | 35c | 691$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e5…4669backed Brute | 35c | 632$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57e…23a5backed Brute | 35c | 578$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…4557backed ARCRED | 65c | 367$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…878cbacked ARCRED | 65c | 348$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…38a2backed ARCRED | 65c | 343$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…ea7dbacked ARCRED | 65c | 341$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…f819backed ARCRED | 65c | 318$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…0924backed ARCRED | 65c | 314$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…83d6backed ARCRED | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…65eebacked ARCRED | 65c | 278$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Brute | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…b470backed Brute | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked ARCRED | 65c | 73.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked ARCRED | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ARCRED | 78c | 16.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.