CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc5bc33840f86a1354eb9252df773998009a8f6815b76bdc258a19fbce6e744f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof Sangal, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed ASTRAL | 39c | 761$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.21 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed ASTRAL | 41c | 475.82$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.95 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 40c | 453.58$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Sangal | 59c | 425.57$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.08 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Sangal | 60c | 384.85$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.91 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Sangal | 59c | 375.28$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 41c | 298$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Sangal | 61c | 283.21$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Sangal | 61c | 186.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked ASTRAL | 65c | 150.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Sangal | 61c | 149.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked ASTRAL | 61c | 148.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sangal | 61c | 146.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked ASTRAL | 53c | 146.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ASTRAL | 41c | 126$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Sangal | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Sangal | 61c | 79.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ASTRAL | 61c | 64.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Sangal | 66c | 58.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sangal | 65c | 50.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ASTRAL | 38c | 43.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Sangal | 61c | 40.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked ASTRAL | 36c | 34.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sangal | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed ASTRAL | 42c | 31.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 34c | 30.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked ASTRAL | 34c | 29.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Sangal | 59c | 27.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Sangal | 60c | 26.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL | 59c | 26.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b3…ab29backed Sangal | 41c | 25.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Sangal | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed ASTRAL | 79c | 13.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.