Lol · resolved market
LoL: FN Esports vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc69b0411d375c65b3a38b6ef62627c7ad0921655b725bebf2e6a9f2a23d8f9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FN Esportsof FN Esports, Anubis Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Anubis Gaming | 0c | 3,700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked FN Esports | 68c | 1,207$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.28 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…cdd9backed Anubis Gaming | 40c | 843.79$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Anubis Gaming | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Anubis Gaming | 6c | 471$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Anubis Gaming | 31c | 296.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Anubis Gaming | 33c | 296.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed FN Esports | 70c | 292.19$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed FN Esports | 72c | 291.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Anubis Gaming | 33c | 272.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Anubis Gaming | 80c | 251.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…880bbacked FN Esports | 65c | 214.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…a06dbacked FN Esports | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +294.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Anubis Gaming | 36c | 184.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Anubis Gaming | 22c | 179.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked FN Esports | 68c | 160.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Anubis Gaming | 24c | 133.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Anubis Gaming | 19c | 124.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed FN Esports | 64c | 118.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked FN Esports | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FN Esports | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Anubis Gaming | 33c | 79.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Anubis Gaming | 36c | 44.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked FN Esports | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed FN Esports | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed FN Esports | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FN Esports vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stagethis page
- LoL: FN Esports vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 WinnerFN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.