Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton vs. Seton Hall
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8d62a6efc86f64bfd93add64d1bfa11ca88c7e6f57a6739bef1890ddb35f50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Creightonof Creighton, Seton Hall
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Seton Hall | 14c | 1,104$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c6…c4c8backed Seton Hall | 50c | 408$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Creighton | 64c | 271$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…9162backed Creighton | 50c | 226$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd486…09fbbacked Seton Hall | 11c | 217$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…2938backed Seton Hall | 18c | 205$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb95…de6ebacked Seton Hall | 18c | 195$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…c87dbacked Seton Hall | 19c | 116$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…5449backed Creighton | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…a7fcbacked Creighton | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…0cfebacked Seton Hall | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273b…331cbacked Seton Hall | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…9a91backed Creighton | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…5468backed Seton Hall | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…f01cbacked Creighton | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…85efbacked Seton Hall | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…c703backed Seton Hall | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Seton Hall | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7708backed Creighton | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…3a30backed Creighton | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb1…be3abacked Creighton | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…66bebacked Creighton | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…0d4bbacked Creighton | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…c99cbacked Creighton | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…cbe9backed Creighton | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…bfccbacked Creighton | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc39…09d8backed Creighton | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…4ee5backed Creighton | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…870abacked Creighton | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.