CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8f3f05593eaf7cf05330cd2e5ab1d688520b4ddcfd3eceeac4958ed11e9ab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,160 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MANA eSports | 0c | 3,685$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 2,842$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.69 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed MANA eSports | 39c | 2,087$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.98 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 1,730$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.03 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 38c | 1,524$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 40c | 1,331$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed MANA eSports | 19c | 1,158$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.71 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 966.68$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.62 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked MANA eSports | 29c | 693.31$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 642.6$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.23 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MANA eSports | 43c | 537$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.28 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 41c | 423.97$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MANA eSports | 33c | 317.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 274.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 271.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed MANA eSports | 56c | 213.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…3fabbacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 148.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed MANA eSports | 28c | 143.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MANA eSports | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MANA eSports | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…e850backed MANA eSports | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 112.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ba…5618backed MANA eSports | 9c | 107.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed MANA eSports | 57c | 105.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed MANA eSports | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MANA eSports | 39c | 103.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MANA eSports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…9c61backed MANA eSports | 57c | 99.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 98.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed MANA eSports | 54c | 77.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed MANA eSports | 40c | 71.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked MANA eSports | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MANA eSports | 52c | 55.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MANA eSports | 44c | 49.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…a890backed MANA eSports | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MANA eSports | 44c | 46.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MANA eSports | 36c | 45.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…7ddebacked MANA eSports | 49c | 40.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked ex-RUBY | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 38.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MANA eSports | 42c | 35.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6798…1bfdbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 27.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked MANA eSports | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 26.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…dbaebacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 24.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…9376backed MANA eSports | 50c | 21.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.