Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morgan State vs. North Carolina Central
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcda1fd4043bfd4dc0d94635696086de3fb74901f856fa306879cfcc9e40beb7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morgan Stateof Morgan State, North Carolina Central
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked North Carolina Central | 76c | 2,650$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.62 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Morgan State | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Morgan State | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…677fbacked Morgan State | 50c | 169$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…b468backed North Carolina Central | 50c | 169$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Morgan State | 26c | 162$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…e286backed Morgan State | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Morgan State | 68c | 106.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…ef59backed Morgan State | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff98…74dcbacked North Carolina Central | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked North Carolina Central | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Morgan State | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…cbecbacked Morgan State | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Morgan State | 25c | 81.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2d…3e7abacked North Carolina Central | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8d…c837backed Morgan State | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaab…d892backed North Carolina Central | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…cbf8backed North Carolina Central | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…69b2backed Morgan State | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Morgan State | 21c | 61.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…2d14backed North Carolina Central | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed North Carolina Central | 32c | 57.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…d3e7backed North Carolina Central | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed Morgan State | 30c | 49.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…161fbacked North Carolina Central | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x599f…f5c0backed North Carolina Central | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf95…cf2ebacked Morgan State | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69f…52debacked North Carolina Central | 80c | 28.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…cc5cbacked Morgan State | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…352dbacked Morgan State | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bb…b014backed Morgan State | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed North Carolina Central | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.