Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zheng vs Kenin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdb4262f4f137a4c69be0bda14918c84210a2a707eedc5b836020c3358267de6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keninof Zheng, Kenin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kenin | 59c | 149.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Kenin | 36c | 106$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Kenin | 36c | 91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Kenin | 36c | 91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Zheng | 37c | 72.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Zheng | 36c | 44.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Zheng | 62c | 42.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Zheng | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Zheng | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Zheng | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Zheng | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Zheng | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Zheng | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Zheng | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Zheng | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Zheng | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Zheng | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Zheng | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Zheng | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zheng vs Keninthis page
- Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia KeninZheng won
- Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Kenin (+1.5)Kenin won
- Zheng vs. Kenin: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zheng vs. Kenin: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Zheng vs. Kenin: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Zheng vs. Kenin: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Zheng vs. Kenin: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.