South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdba5e37624d979f1ab9862979701a8cd4c217213970351fdbe272bb81abbe3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 53c | 1,235$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.19 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,207$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.41 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,118$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.3 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 77c | 1,015$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.77 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 46c | 453$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 330.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.43 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 32c | 318.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 22c | 267.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…3152backed Yes | 24c | 235$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 226.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 21c | 121$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 8c | 120.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61dc…6dd8backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 89.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed No | 77c | 62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked Yes | 50c | 48.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 74c | 47.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 71c | 42.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 77c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 67c | 32.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked No | 79c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…67b6backed Yes | 63c | 25.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…b669backed Yes | 67c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.