Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will the match between Fenerbahce and Anderlecht end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcde581ac988040719c65ec4d0dee61af3f290a93a36eb68a3137e8b0232fb3ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 22c | 447$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 169.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c1…8a8fbacked No | 78c | 142$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes | 17c | 106.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0834…485cbacked Yes | 22c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c980backed Yes | 22c | 73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 79c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 78c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…1c7fbacked Yes | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…0aa3backed No | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b1…0680backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…b8e1backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…d6f6backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…f91fbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…674fbacked No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29d…325bbacked No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…131cbacked No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…e4f0backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…6b80backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c4…cad9backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Fenerbahce and Anderlecht end in a draw?this page
- Will Anderlecht beat Fenerbahce?No won
- Will Fenerbahce beat Anderlecht?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.