CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Players vs Damajuana - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce1196995a5328a53b8b2bcfe137551f9d79bf03d266ea5a9e12b9bb17f25c4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Playersof Players, Damajuana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Damajuana | 47c | 4,406$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.37 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Damajuana | 45c | 2,780$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.09 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Damajuana | 7c | 1,760$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Players | 62c | 791.38$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.72 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Players | 31c | 454.8$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Players | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Damajuana | 27c | 286.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Damajuana | 15c | 199$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Damajuana | 47c | 177$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Damajuana | 18c | 127$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Damajuana | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Damajuana | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Players | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Damajuana | 42c | 41.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Damajuana | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…2748backed Players | 76c | 22.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Damajuana - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group StagePlayers won
- Map Handicap: PLS (-1.5) vs Damajuana (+1.5)Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.