Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce78a9dd20ee3ebdb8bf3f0c7f07be3bae58aa3a057bafc781b8eea3140d0260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof InterActive Philippines, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,693 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a46…97eabacked InterActive Philippines | 6c | 910.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bd…d06dbacked InterActive Philippines | 18c | 757$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a04…9200backed InterActive Philippines | 11c | 480$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…f709backed InterActive Philippines | 18c | 439$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8fd8backed InterActive Philippines | 8c | 394$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…e913backed InterActive Philippines | 7c | 381$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91d…1635backed InterActive Philippines | 6c | 379$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2448…86d3backed InterActive Philippines | 11c | 332$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…1d0abacked InterActive Philippines | 18c | 308$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…0541backed InterActive Philippines | 4c | 289$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked GLYPH | 75c | 228.1$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…738fbacked InterActive Philippines | 18c | 227$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4878…739cbacked InterActive Philippines | 27c | 219.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…51debacked InterActive Philippines | 8c | 162$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dad…4e35backed InterActive Philippines | 11c | 153$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked InterActive Philippines | 14c | 111.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1370…4637backed InterActive Philippines | 18c | 84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…b1c0backed InterActive Philippines | 18c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked GLYPH | 70c | 47.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs GLYPH - Game 1 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.