NHL · resolved market
KHL: Traktor vs. Sibir Novosibirsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcea9928dd74ed0192acfe207d095b732d26298498e38b43a942f213c7f5da55c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Traktorof Traktor, Sibir Novosibirsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8cf…a03abacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 27c | 1,750$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e61ebacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 26c | 1,240$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…df9abacked Traktor | 74c | 1,060$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…315cbacked Traktor | 73c | 930$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…04bebacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 27c | 920$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +130%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…66aebacked Traktor | 73c | 820$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3d…afd9backed Traktor | 73c | 750$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0143backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 26c | 690$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…e6c6backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 27c | 650$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6d…bab2backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…ebffbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 27c | 590$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…d1d0backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 28c | 400$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…897dbacked Traktor | 74c | 360$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x525f…39a1backed Traktor | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…a1cfbacked Traktor | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…e5a3backed Traktor | 73c | 330$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…63c5backed Traktor | 74c | 330$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…7051backed Traktor | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…1cb8backed Traktor | 73c | 260$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…efbebacked Traktor | 72c | 260$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…d6e4backed Traktor | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…83cbbacked Traktor | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…26f9backed Traktor | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…7cefbacked Traktor | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 26c | 90.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 26c | 70.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Traktor | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Traktor | 73c | 53.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Traktor | 67c | 43.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…7b48backed Traktor | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Traktor | 74c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.