South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee0bc29e01f863bde332ad5844e061cb71d9af982bdf061df8ab7940f056c8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,400 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,400 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,298$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.88 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 55c | 1,633$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.84 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 45c | 1,050$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.49 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 55c | 517.48$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.61 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…eb65backed Yes | 41c | 449$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 52c | 382$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.9 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 53c | 315$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 47c | 299.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 178.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 54c | 171.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 42c | 165.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 13c | 141.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 52c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 43c | 79.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 71.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…e6e1backed Yes | 62c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 47.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa907…7ddebacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7d…7febbacked Yes | 46c | 32.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 54c | 29.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 54c | 27.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 53c | 21.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?No won
- Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.