Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina vs. Clemson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef054bdd2b52e537ffe576ee654fa847166876d474047312140bf07ff184754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemsonof North Carolina, Clemson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed North Carolina | 39c | 10,904$4,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,233.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked North Carolina | 8c | 7,188$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clemson | 62c | 4,225$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.35 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Clemson | 65c | 2,974$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Clemson | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…4803backed North Carolina | 38c | 512.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed North Carolina | 37c | 272.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d3…2425backed Clemson | 69c | 133$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…d758backed North Carolina | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Clemson | 67c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Clemson | 70c | 79.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…f71abacked North Carolina | 31c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…30c7backed North Carolina | 31c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…e69bbacked Clemson | 69c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…ba62backed North Carolina | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…8b72backed Clemson | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…0a00backed North Carolina | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…a452backed North Carolina | 49c | 63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…26c0backed Clemson | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…ce30backed North Carolina | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5d…2a88backed North Carolina | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…3269backed Clemson | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb4…0a89backed Clemson | 51c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…4865backed North Carolina | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…a9e8backed Clemson | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Clemson | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…1ca4backed Clemson | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…0a2ebacked North Carolina | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…d633backed North Carolina | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…f239backed Clemson | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…6ad1backed Clemson | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…6dcdbacked Clemson | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Clemson | 73c | 43.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x262e…69e9backed North Carolina | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed Clemson | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…3fd9backed North Carolina | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…0faabacked Clemson | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd149…4156backed North Carolina | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…2339backed North Carolina | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ef…de92backed Clemson | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…14b7backed Clemson | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd8…6d0cbacked North Carolina | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…6e5dbacked North Carolina | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…5cd9backed Clemson | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…1a99backed Clemson | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…66ecbacked Clemson | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb910…284ebacked Clemson | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…5258backed Clemson | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…2938backed Clemson | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…2660backed Clemson | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8f…dfa6backed Clemson | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d1…e528backed Clemson | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…c0f4backed Clemson | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…e4cfbacked Clemson | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dce…156bbacked Clemson | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…2955backed Clemson | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…8ccfbacked Clemson | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Clemson | 67c | 17.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Clemson | 69c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428a…5509backed Clemson | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6263…5b39backed Clemson | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…ad26backed Clemson | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa454…71b5backed Clemson | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…3d24backed Clemson | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…c2c5backed Clemson | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…2d7dbacked Clemson | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.