Tennis · resolved market
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Tom Paris vs Moez Echargui
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf6f76515ad20cd322b3cbfab3e6d4d18e531e5173f4d339ba98391eb6b99af4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Echarguiof Paris, Echargui
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Echargui | 31c | 1,268$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.74 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Paris | 80c | 965.25$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf0…c907backed Echargui | 21c | 821.95$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Paris | 49c | 612.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Echargui | 52c | 510.05$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.95 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Echargui | 22c | 312$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.71 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Echargui | 31c | 285.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.3 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Echargui | 55c | 252.64$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…a993backed Paris | 47c | 196.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Echargui | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Echargui | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Echargui | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Echargui | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…20e1backed Echargui | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Paris | 48c | 57.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Paris | 48c | 54.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Echargui | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Echargui | 53c | 37.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Paris | 75c | 35.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.