Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0307ba1b02f5ac0e3f9c09a47471542520afea49079bb497dd896734c3313ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 41c | 7,497$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.43 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…eadbbacked Yes | 61c | 5,670$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…615cbacked Yes | 58c | 3,626$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 3,006$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 53c | 1,562$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 58c | 1,542$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 16c | 1,496$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a02dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 60c | 727.4$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +91%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 656.49$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 59c | 508.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 60c | 363.93$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 60c | 333.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 40c | 330.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed Yes | 47c | 271.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 45c | 219.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 59c | 216.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 207.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed No | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 50c | 140.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 53c | 132.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 50c | 123.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 47c | 105.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…7e5fbacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…2833backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 44c | 62.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 58c | 60.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 57c | 56.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 38c | 54.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 59c | 35.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…7592backed Yes | 60c | 33.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 46c | 31.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…b95dbacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…a2febacked Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers vs. Yokohama FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Yokohama FC win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.