Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Upstate vs. Gardner Webb
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0986f2f972b07b01416a00ea61866d4df9fd143523b677c938d2d8a4768a9e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gardner Webbof USC Upstate, Gardner Webb
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0626…e9f4backed USC Upstate | 25c | 305$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a3…40efbacked Gardner Webb | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…4420backed USC Upstate | 23c | 161$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ba…b15cbacked USC Upstate | 30c | 156$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…988cbacked Gardner Webb | 75c | 151$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…78f7backed Gardner Webb | 77c | 144$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…765bbacked USC Upstate | 30c | 143$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Gardner Webb | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…bb19backed Gardner Webb | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…75d8backed USC Upstate | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…bc4dbacked USC Upstate | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…c9a5backed Gardner Webb | 75c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3470…9e32backed USC Upstate | 25c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…0ce4backed USC Upstate | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…f1babacked USC Upstate | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…11f0backed Gardner Webb | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c3…c00abacked Gardner Webb | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…0ad8backed USC Upstate | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…85d7backed USC Upstate | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…91e4backed USC Upstate | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…12bebacked Gardner Webb | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Gardner Webb | 59c | 43.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…8a95backed Gardner Webb | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…eae2backed USC Upstate | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…5040backed Gardner Webb | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…b887backed Gardner Webb | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…366dbacked USC Upstate | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb71…d73abacked Gardner Webb | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…ebfabacked Gardner Webb | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e2…a6fabacked USC Upstate | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…cf16backed Gardner Webb | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…7f4cbacked Gardner Webb | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…8157backed USC Upstate | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…b5d9backed Gardner Webb | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…d9a1backed Gardner Webb | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…7ba6backed USC Upstate | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…688ebacked Gardner Webb | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3efb…f855backed USC Upstate | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…f21ebacked Gardner Webb | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df2…cb03backed Gardner Webb | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…19cbbacked Gardner Webb | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Gardner Webb | 68c | 27.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3932…aba3backed Gardner Webb | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c2…a2acbacked Gardner Webb | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb488…0995backed Gardner Webb | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…399fbacked Gardner Webb | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe921…e3ccbacked Gardner Webb | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…892dbacked Gardner Webb | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…7a86backed Gardner Webb | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ece…c68bbacked Gardner Webb | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…362fbacked Gardner Webb | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…87d0backed Gardner Webb | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…ad4bbacked Gardner Webb | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…e0a4backed Gardner Webb | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f0…6648backed Gardner Webb | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…9dd9backed Gardner Webb | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…1988backed Gardner Webb | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.