Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCLA vs. Indiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ce8913d659e102697910e822668b2e628771f653eada1bb6b4be5b73717156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLAof UCLA, Indiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Indiana | 23c | 4,466$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.92 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Indiana | 17c | 4,104$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.22 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Indiana | 45c | 4,080$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.92 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked UCLA | 58c | 2,606$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Indiana | 1c | 2,118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Indiana | 18c | 1,908$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed UCLA | 57c | 1,752$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed UCLA | 75c | 1,430$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UCLA | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.94 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Indiana | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed UCLA | 56c | 500.01$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Indiana | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Indiana | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed UCLA | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Indiana | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Indiana | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Indiana | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed UCLA | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Indiana | 47c | 199$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…1a3dbacked Indiana | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…91b8backed UCLA | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Indiana | 47c | 63.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…1bd6backed Indiana | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked UCLA | 52c | 47.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…73dfbacked Indiana | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe7…9563backed UCLA | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…c6b1backed UCLA | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…2971backed UCLA | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb9…4748backed UCLA | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7796…e517backed Indiana | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Indiana | 44c | 31.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked UCLA | 80c | 30.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86cd…90d5backed Indiana | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d4…9b42backed UCLA | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…3305backed Indiana | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0349…7122backed UCLA | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf9…d296backed Indiana | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UCLA | 54c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…22adbacked UCLA | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.