Tennis · resolved market
Brasilia: Facundo Acosta vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd134981f6b7cca7ed19d191e30e513be4974e43d3b1d3b936b9c7bc8613b3141
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Acostaof Facundo Acosta, Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 17c | 7,861$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.04 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 25c | 3,601$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 6c | 3,413$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.88 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Facundo Acosta | 72c | 3,080$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.61 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Facundo Acosta | 76c | 2,898$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.96 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 29c | 1,606$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.64 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 24c | 1,562$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.67 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Facundo Acosta | 75c | 1,009$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.96 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 27c | 652.32$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 28c | 603.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 5c | 545.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Facundo Acosta | 74c | 429.8$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 420.68$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Facundo Acosta | 71c | 365$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 18c | 288.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 21c | 240.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Facundo Acosta | 78c | 229.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf959…6026backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 25c | 198.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 24c | 195.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 23c | 186$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 184.42$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Facundo Acosta | 74c | 159$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 14c | 130.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 18c | 126.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Facundo Acosta | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 21c | 117.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Facundo Acosta | 72c | 108.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 21c | 104.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Facundo Acosta | 74c | 103.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 20c | 102.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Facundo Acosta | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Facundo Acosta | 74c | 95.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 94.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Facundo Acosta | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…f67dbacked Facundo Acosta | 67c | 65.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Facundo Acosta | 77c | 63.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 22c | 49.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Facundo Acosta | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Facundo Acosta | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Facundo Acosta | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…c1cbbacked Facundo Acosta | 80c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…73e1backed Facundo Acosta | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.